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Outlook 2017
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Oilmageddon

Prices down or up – it doesn’t matter. The world’s oil sector is in the endgame

In my book, The Winning of the Carbon War, I argue that 2013 to 2015 were turn-around years that will lead to decarbonisation of the global economy. The course of 2016, I suggest, has been consistent with a global transition from fossil-fuel dominance to the zero-carbon economy. If this analysis is correct, the oil and gas industry is heading for a future very different to its past - 2017 will simply confirm the trend. Three fundamental megatrends are at work. First, society is awakening in critical mass to the twin threats of climate change and air pollution - and responding. Second, an energy insurgency is disrupting established energy markets, fast. Third, the energy incumbency is facing

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