Derek Brower, LONDON: After pushing towards
$120 a barrel in February, oil markets look fragile again.
Macroeconomics, geopolitics, tepid demand and buoyant supplies
are all beginning to weigh on Brent again. March has provided
the turning point for market sentiment in the past. Do not be
surprised if it does this year, too.
In London on 4 March, Brent was trading above $110/b.
Despite the 6% drop since February's highs, however, those
levels still look pricey and vulnerable. Bad macroeconomic news
is swirling across the world again.
As it trimmed its oil-demand growth forecast for 2013 last
month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) nonetheless
remained positive, noting improvements in the Chinese and US
Not for the first time, the agency may have spoken too soon.
Worries about both economies have resurfaced. In China, almost
all indicators gauging performance in February showed a dip in
confidence compared with...